Felix Pinkston
May 9, 2026 8:43 AM
AAVE breaks above the key resistance and technical indicators point to a push towards USD 105. The confluence of moving average support and positive market structure indicates upside potential, although…

The Technical Foundation
AAVE has cleared a significant resistance zone around $96, creating a platform for the next phase of price discovery. The breakout comes with legitimate conviction as buyers enter at higher prices, demonstrating their willingness for exposure despite asset trading nearing recent highs. Moving averages provide support under current price action and create a base that suggests the path of least resistance points upward.
The daily chart shows a consolidation pattern that appears to be moving upwards. Volume patterns in recent sessions indicate institutional interest rather than retail speculation, with continued accumulation evident across multiple time frames. These types of controlled purchases usually precede measured movements, rather than violent squeezes that quickly reverse.
Market structure analysis
The broader DeFi sector is experiencing renewed interest as credit protocols demonstrate resilience across market cycles. AAVE’s position as a leading protocol in this space positions it to benefit from sector rotation into return-generating assets. Blockchain.news analysis shows that DeFi tokens have been quietly building strength while attention turns to other stories.
The main resistance levels cluster around the $100 psychological barrier, followed by the more important $105 zone where profit-taking could emerge. The technical setup suggests that these levels are achievable within a ten-day time frame, assuming current momentum continues. Support has been established in the low $90s range, providing a safety net for any temporary pullbacks.
Risk assessment and strategy
The probability-weighted scenario favors continued upside potential, but traders should remain aware of potential reversal points. Failure to hold above $94 would signal that the breakout is inconclusive, which could lead to a retest of lower support around $88. However, the current price structure suggests that buyers are determined to defend the recent gains.
For position sizing, the format rewards patience with measured entries rather than aggressive speculation. Data from Blockchain.news shows that successful DeFi transactions typically evolve over a one- to two-week timeframe, allowing fundamentals to catch up with technical developments. The $105 target represents a logical profit-taking zone where resistance could emerge, making it prudent to add to positions rather than hold longer runs.
The swing trading approach involves monitoring how AAVE handles the $100 level – a clear break in volume would confirm the bullish thesis and open the door to $105+. Conversely, a rejection at round numbers and increasing selling pressure would indicate the need for patience and a possible re-entry at lower levels.
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