Darius Baruo
March 14, 2026 9:50 am
The NEAR Protocol shows neutral momentum at $1.31, with technical indicators pointing to a potential resistance test at $1.38. The RSI remains balanced, while the price remains above the major moving averages.
NEAR Summary of price forecasts
• Short-term target (1 week): $1.35 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): range $1.30-$1.40
• Bullish breakout level: $1.40 • Critical support: $1.26
What crypto analysts say about the NEAR protocol
Recent analyst coverage has provided a cautiously optimistic outlook for NEAR Protocol’s price trajectory. According to blockchain.news reports over the past week, multiple tech analysts have identified similar upside targets.
Darius Baruo noted on March 7 that “NEAR Protocol is showing neutral momentum at $1.22 with potential to test the resistance at $1.30 within two weeks” – a target already achieved as NEAR is currently trading at $1.31.
A more recent analysis from Terrill Dicki on March 10 suggested that “NEAR Protocol is trading at $1.30 with bullish momentum above the major moving averages. Technical analysis suggests a potential test of $1.38 resistance within weeks.” This is consistent with Lawrence Jengar’s assessment from March 11, which highlighted that “NEAR Protocol is trading at $1.30 with a neutral RSI at 58.60. Technical analysis suggests a possible test of $1.38 resistance within weeks as the price remains above the major moving averages.”
The consistent $1.38 target among multiple analysts suggests this level represents meaningful technical resistance that could determine NEAR’s near-term price action.
NEAR Technical Analysis Breakdown
Current technical indicators paint a mixed but largely constructive picture for the NEAR Protocol. Trading at $1.31, NEAR is comfortably above its shorter-term moving averages, with the 7-day SMA at $1.29, the 20-day SMA at $1.22, and the 50-day SMA at $1.18. However, the price remains significantly below the 200-day SMA of $1.92, indicating that the longer-term trend remains bearish.
The RSI reading of 57.32 puts NEAR in neutral territory, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This allows room for movement in both directions without immediate momentum limitations.
MACD analysis shows signals with a histogram at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum despite the MACD line (0.0446) remaining above the signal line (0.0446). This signals a weakening of bullish momentum, which traders should keep a close eye on.
Bollinger Bands analysis shows that NEAR is trading at 0.69 of the band’s range, positioned between the middle band ($1.22) and the top band ($1.45). This placement suggests potential for continued upside towards the higher band, in line with analysts’ targets around $1.38.
The daily Average True Range of $0.10 indicates moderate volatility and provides enough price movement for trading opportunities while maintaining relative stability.
NEAR Protocol Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish scenario
The NEAR price forecast points to immediate resistance at $1.35, followed by the key $1.38 level identified by multiple analysts. A break above $1.40 could trigger a more significant rally towards the higher Bollinger Band at $1.45.
To realize this bullish NEAR Protocol prediction, the token must hold support above the 7-day SMA ($1.29) while the RSI rises above 60 to confirm strengthening momentum. Volume expansion above the current daily average of $24.8 million would provide additional confirmation.
The technical situation supports a measured move towards $1.38-$1.40 over the next 2-3 weeks, implying a potential upside of 5-7% from current levels.
Bearish scenario
The downside risks are centered around the immediate support at $1.29, which coincided with the 7-day SMA. A break below this level could lead to selling towards $1.26 (strong support) and possibly the 20-day SMA to $1.22.
The bearish histogram value of the MACD suggests that momentum is already turning negative, which could accelerate if the price breaks the key support levels. Failure to hold $1.22 would likely lead to a deeper correction towards the lower Bollinger Band at $0.99, although this represents an extreme scenario.
Should you buy close by? Access strategy
For traders considering the NEAR Protocol, the current price of $1.31 provides a reasonable entry point with defined risk parameters. Conservative buyers could wait for a decline towards the $1.29 support level to improve their risk-reward ratio.
The stop-loss placement should take into account the strong support level at $1.26, which represents a downside risk of around 4% from current prices. This provides a logical starting point if the bullish thesis fails.
The position sizing should take into account NEAR’s daily ATR of $0.10, which suggests that potential daily moves of 7-8% are normal. Risk management becomes crucial given this volatility profile.
Conclusion
This NEAR price forecast suggests cautious optimism about the token’s short-term prospects, with technical indicators supporting a move towards $1.38 in the coming weeks. The convergence of analyst targets around this level adds credibility to the forecast.
However, the bearish MACD histogram and distance from the 200-day SMA serve as important reminders that longer-term headwinds remain. Traders should maintain disciplined risk management and keep a close eye on key support levels.
The NEAR Protocol forecast looks constructive for a 5-7% upside move, but significant resistance awaits at $1.40. Success in breaking this level could trigger further gains towards $1.45.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments involve significant risks, and past performance is no guarantee of future results.
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