Timothy Morano
March 3, 2026 9:24 am
Hedera (HBAR) faces a crucial technical crossroads at a pivot point of $0.10. Technical analysis suggests a possible breakout to a range of $0.11-$0.12, while RSI neutrality and bearish MACD remain cautious…
HBAR Price Prediction Overview
• Short-term goal (1 week): $0.105-$0.110
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): Range of $0.09 – $0.12
• Bullish Breakout Level: $0.11
• Critical Support: $0.09
What crypto analysts say about Hedera
While specific analyst predictions are limited in the current market cycle, Timothy Morano’s most recent analysis, published in January 2026, targeted HBAR at $0.141 by the end of January. However, with HBAR currently trading around $0.095-$0.10, this target was not achieved, suggesting that more conservative expectations may be justified.
According to on-chain data platforms, Hedera’s network fundamentals remain solid despite the current price consolidation. The lack of new analyst coverage could indicate that the market is waiting for clearer directional signals before committing to stronger price forecasts.
Technical analysis breakdown of HBAR
The current technical picture for Hedera offers a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook. With HBAR trading at $0.10, the token is right at several key technical levels that will likely determine its near-term direction.
RSI analysis: The 14-period RSI at 44.51 indicates neutral momentum, indicating neither oversold nor overbought conditions. This positioning offers freedom of movement in both directions without direct technical restrictions.
MACD signals: The MACD histogram value of 0.0000 with both MACD and signal lines at -0.0005 indicates minimal bearish momentum. Although technically negative, its proximity to zero indicates potential for momentum shifts.
Bollinger bands: HBAR’s position at 0.16 within the Bollinger Bands (where 0 represents the lower band and 1 represents the upper band) shows the price trading near the lower band support at $0.09. This positioning often precedes a jump to the mid-band at $0.10 or a breakdown below support.
moving average structure: All the shorter-term moving averages (SMA 7, 20, 50, EMA 12, 26) cluster around $0.10, creating a key decision point. The SMA 200 remains well above current prices at $0.16, indicating a longer-term bearish structure that needs to be regained for continued bullish momentum.
Hedera Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish scenario
In the bullish case of this HBAR price prediction, a break above the immediate resistance at $0.10 could create momentum towards the strong resistance level at $0.11. For technical confirmation the following is required:
- The RSI breaks above 50 and confirms the bullish momentum
- MACD histogram becomes positive
- Daily close above $0.105 for two consecutive sessions
If these conditions match, the Hedera forecast suggests potential targets of $0.11-$0.12 by the end of the month, representing a 10-20% upside from current levels. The $0.12 level would approach the midpoint between current prices and longer-term resistance around $0.16.
Bearish scenario
The bearish scenario focuses on the risk of a collapse below the $0.09 support level. The main warning signs include:
- The RSI drops below 40, indicating increasing selling pressure
- MACD histogram becomes more negative
- Volume spike associated with any break below $0.095
A confirmed break below $0.09 could lead to a test of the next major support around $0.08, implying a potential downside risk of 15-20%. The bearish case would be further confirmed by rejection of any attempt to regain the $0.10 pivot level.
Should You Buy HBAR? Access strategy
For this HBAR price prediction strategy, consider phased entries instead of all-in positioning:
Primary access zone: $0.095-$0.098, close to the current lower Bollinger Band support
Secondary access: $0.089-$0.092 if support is broken and retested
Stop loss: Less than $0.085 (approximately 15% risk with primary access)
Risk management: The position size should reflect the 15-20% downside risk for strong support levels. Consider taking partial profits of $0.105 and $0.11 if the bullish scenario unfolds.
The neutral RSI provides flexibility for entry opportunities, while the proximity to Bollinger Band support provides a favorable risk-reward ratio for patient investors.
Conclusion
This Hedera forecast suggests that HBAR is approaching a critical juncture at the $0.10 pivot point. While technical indicators show mixed signals, the risk-reward profile favors cautious accumulation near current levels, with a target range of $0.11-$0.12 for the remainder of March 2026.
The confidence level for the HBAR price forecasts remains moderate (6/10), given the neutral technical setup and limited coverage by new analysts. Success depends heavily on broader crypto market sentiment and HBAR’s ability to regain momentum above the clustered moving averages.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and based on technical analysis. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Always do your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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