Darius Baruo
October 12, 2025 7:47 PM
The AVAX price forecast suggests a recovery to $31-35 within a month as current oversold conditions around $22.92 create buying opportunities despite bearish MACD signals.
Avalanche (AVAX) presents a compelling technical setup at current levels, trading at $22.92 with mixed signals that could determine the next big move. Our comprehensive AVAX price forecast analysis reveals both immediate challenges and medium-term opportunities for the Layer-1 blockchain token.
Summary of AVAX price predictions
• AVAX short-term goal (1 week): $26.50 (+15.6%) – Initial resistance test • Avalanche medium-term forecast (1 month): Range of $31.00-$35.00 (+35-53% increase) • Key level to break for bullish continuation: $28.84 (SMA 20 resistance) • Critical support if bearish: $22.24 (lower Bollinger Band support)
Recent avalanche price forecasts from analysts
The latest analyst forecasts show remarkable consistency in bullish sentiment despite the current price weakness. Changelly’s progressive AVAX price forecast ranges are showing increasing confidence, with targets rising from $30.81 to $31.10 in recent days – all pointing to immediate upside potential of 35-36% from current levels.
More aggressive forecasts paint an even rosier picture. PricePredictions.com’s medium-term target of $92.10 represents a staggering 302% potential gain, while PriceForecastBot’s AI-driven analysis points to $41.70 for the long term, indicating an upside of 82%. This consensus on the avalanche forecast suggests strong institutional confidence in the token’s recovery potential.
The convergence around the $30-31 price range for short-term targets provides a clear AVAX price target for near-term recovery expectations, supported by technical analysis pointing to oversold conditions.
AVAX technical analysis: ready for bullish reversal
Avalanche’s current technical analysis reveals a classic oversold setup with multiple indicators pointing to an impending rebound. The RSI at 35.31 is in neutral territory but closer to the oversold level, while the Bollinger Bands position at 0.0514 shows AVAX embracing the lower band – historically a bullish reversal signal.
The MACD histogram at -1.1376 presents the main bearish concern, indicating continued negative momentum. However, this difference between price action near support and momentum indicators often precedes trend reversals. The daily ATR of $3.18 suggests enough volatility for meaningful moves in either direction.
Volume analysis shows robust trading activity of $150.6 million, indicating institutional interest despite the price drop. This volume profile supports the potential for sustained movement once directional clarity emerges.
Avalanche Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish case for AVAX
The primary bullish scenario targets a range of $31-35 within four weeks, in line with analyst consensus. Initial resistance at the SMA 20 ($28.84) should break before the retest of the SMA 7 ($25.83) continues, followed by the critical level at $28.84.
A break above $28.84 opens the way to $31.10 (Changelly’s target) and possibly the 52-week high near $35.19. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands at $35.44 represents the maximum bullish extension for this cycle.
Technical catalysts supporting this avalanche forecast include RSI divergence formation, a potential low in the MACD histogram, and strong support at current levels.
Bearish risk of avalanche
The bearish scenario kicks in if AVAX moves below the crucial Bollinger Band support at $22.24. This collapse could trigger a cascade to the pivot level, with eventual support at $8.52 – although such an extreme downside seems unlikely given the current market structure.
An immediate bearish confirmation would come from sustained trading below $22.00, accompanied by increasing volume and an RSI breaking below 30. The 52-week low of $16.04 represents moderate downside risk if broader market conditions deteriorate.
Should You Buy AVAX Now? Access strategy
Current levels provide an attractive entry point into the AVAX price forecast scenario. There are optimal entry zones between $22.50 and $23.50, with tight stop-losses below $21.50 to limit downside risk.
A more conservative approach consists of waiting for an initial resistance break above $25.00, which confirms bullish momentum before entry. This strategy provides some upside potential, but significantly reduces downside risk.
Position size should reflect the mixed technical picture – consider a 50% allocation at current levels, with the remaining 50% reserved for a possible dip below $21.00 or confirmation of a breakout above $25.00.
AVAX price forecast conclusion
Our analysis suggests a average confidence bullish AVAX price forecast targeting $31-35 within 4 weeks, representing 35-53% upside potential. The combination of oversold technical conditions, analyst consensus around the $30+ targets and strong support levels creates a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Key indicators to watch include the development of the MACD histogram divergence, the recovery of the RSI from current levels and the confirmation of volume on any upward moves. The critical timeline covers the next seven to 10 days for the first confirmation of momentum.
The decision to buy or sell AVAX ultimately depends on risk tolerance, but current technical positioning favors patient accumulation with good risk management in the coming month.
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