Peter Zhang
Oct 25 2025 17:12
The AVAX price forecast shows a potential recovery to $24-26 in the next month, with immediate resistance at $22.38. Current oversold conditions indicate upside potential, despite the bearish momentum.
Avalanche (AVAX) presents a compelling technical setup as the cryptocurrency trades at $19.53, showing signs of potential recovery from oversold conditions. Our comprehensive AVAX price forecast analysis reveals mixed signals that could lead to significant price movements in the coming weeks.
Summary of AVAX price predictions
• AVAX short-term goal (1 week): $21.50-22.38 (+10-15%) • Avalanche medium-term forecast (1 month): Range $24-26 (+23-33%) • Key level to break for bullish continuation: $22.38 (SMA 20) • Critical support if bearish: $16.04 (52-week low)
Recent avalanche price forecasts from analysts
The analyst community is deeply divided in their approach to avalanche forecasting. Changelly’s recent forecasts target the range of $32.74-32.79, which represents a bullish outlook based on moving average signals. However, PricePredictions.com maintains a more conservative stance with targets around $20.60-20.78, indicating limited upside potential.
This difference in the AVAX price target reflects the current technical uncertainty. While Changelly’s forecasts seem overly optimistic given current resistance levels, PricePredictions.com’s targets are more closely aligned with immediate technical resistance at the SMA 20 level of $22.38.
AVAX Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Recovery
Avalanche’s technical analysis reveals oversold conditions that typically precede price reversals. With an RSI of 32.77, AVAX is in neutral territory but closer to the oversold level, indicating potential buying interest could emerge.
The MACD histogram at -0.1120 indicates that the bearish momentum is weakening, although it has not yet turned positive. This difference between the oversold RSI conditions and the weakening bearish momentum creates an interesting basis for potential upside.
Volume analysis shows $32.69 million in 24-hour trading on Binance, which remains relatively healthy and indicates continued market interest. The Bollinger Bands position at 0.30 indicates that AVAX is trading at the lower end of its recent range, supporting the oversold thesis.
Avalanche Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish case for AVAX
In our bullish AVAX price forecast scenario, the primary target is at $22.38, which represents the SMA 20 level. A break above this resistance could create momentum towards $24-26, with the SMA 50 at $27.04 providing the next major resistance.
The bullish case calls for AVAX to reclaim the critical $21.06 level identified by analysts, followed by continued volume above current levels. If this is achieved, the path to $26 will become technically feasible within thirty days.
Bearish risk of avalanche
The bearish scenario for our avalanche forecast focuses on a break below the $19.21 24-hour low. Such a move could push sales towards a year-over-year low of $16.04, representing an 18% decline from current levels.
Key risk factors include the broader weakness of the crypto market and the inability to generate sufficient buying volume around current levels. The 44.50% distance from the 52-week high suggests there is significant overhead resistance.
Should You Buy AVAX Now? Access strategy
Based on our AVAX price forecast analysis, a measured approach seems sensible. Consider an entry between $19.20 and 19.50 for those seeking exposure, with a strict stop-loss of $18.50 to limit downside risk.
The risk-reward ratio favors buyers at current levels, with potential upside to $24-26, offering a reward-risk profile of 2:1. However, position sizing should remain conservative given the mixed technical signals.
For aggressive traders, a breakout above $22.38 could provide a higher probability entry point, albeit with reduced upside potential.
AVAX price forecast conclusion
Our extensive analysis suggests that AVAX is positioned for a recovery towards $24-26 within the next 30 days, representing a medium-confidence forecast. The combination of oversold RSI conditions, weakening bearish momentum and proximity to yearly lows makes for a favorable situation.
Key indicators to watch include an RSI move above 40, a MACD histogram turning positive, and sustained volume above $35 million per day. Failure to hold $19.20 support would invalidate this bullish Avalanche forecast and suggest further downside risk.
The timeline for achieving this AVAX price target extends to the end of November 2025, with first confirmation expected within 7-10 days via a move above $21.50. Investors should remain vigilant for broader market conditions that could impact this forecast.
Confidence level: Average (65%)
Image source: Shutterstock


