Caroline Bishop
Oct 18 2025 2:20 PM
Solana’s price forecast shows a potential upside to $204.14, while SOL finds support around the 200-day MA at $174. Technical analysis shows mixed signals.
SOL price forecast overview
• SOL short term objective (1 week): $181.59 (+/-2%) • Solana medium-term forecast (1 month): Range of $195-$204
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $197.42 (EMA 12) • Critical support if bearish: $168.79
Recent Solana Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest consensus on SOL price forecasts from leading analysts shows cautious optimism despite recent bearish momentum. Changelly’s consistent forecasts over the past five days predict a short-term stabilization around $181, while CoinCodex presents a more bullish Solana forecast with a medium-term target of $204.14.
The convergence of analyst forecasts around the $181 level is significant, as this closely aligns with Solana’s current 200-day moving average of $174.23. This technical confluence suggests that institutional analysts are eyeing the same critical support zone that has historically driven strong buying interest in SOL.
What is particularly striking is the contrast between short-term caution and medium-term optimism. While immediate SOL price forecasts hover around current levels, CoinCodex’s 30-day Solana forecast expects a 4.86% rally despite the Fear & Greed Index being at 38, indicating market fear.
Technical analysis of SOL: preparing for potential reversal
Solana’s current technical analysis shows that a coin is at a critical juncture. The SOL is trading at $184.61 and is just above the 200-day moving average support of $174.23, which has risen since September 14, 2025. This rising long-term support suggests that the underlying trend remains intact despite the recent weakness.
The bearish momentum is clearly visible in the MACD histogram of -3.3783, while the RSI at 40.12 indicates that the SOL has moved from oversold territory to neutral territory. This RSI positioning often precedes consolidation phases that can lead to price breakouts.
Bollinger Bands analysis shows SOL trading in the bottom 17% of its range, with a %B position at 0.1701. This extreme positioning near the lower band at $171.80 historically generates mean-reversion rallies towards the mid-band at $209.46.
The daily ATR of $15.72 indicates increased volatility, which could facilitate rapid moves in either direction once the current consolidation ends.
Solana Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish case for SOL
The primary SOL price target in a bullish scenario points to $204.14, which represents the medium-term analyst consensus. This target corresponds to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from SOL’s 52-week high of $247.50.
For this bullish Solana forecast to materialize, SOL needs to reclaim its EMA 12 at $197.42, which would signal a near-term momentum shift. A sustained break above this level opens the way to test immediate resistance at $237.79.
The rising 200-day moving average provides the basis for this bullish case as long as SOL holds support above $174. Confirmation of volume above 700 million per day would strengthen the conviction for higher prices.
Bearish risk for Solana
Should current support fail, the bearish SOL price forecast targets the strong support zone at $168.79. This level coincides with the lower Bollinger Band and represents an 8.5% decline from current prices.
A break below $168.79 would negate the short-term bullish structure and could trigger algorithmic selling towards the psychological $150 level. The declining 50-day moving average at $215.32 confirms medium-term bearish momentum that could accelerate at support breaks.
Risk factors include Bitcoin’s potential weakness, broader fear in the crypto market as indicated by the current Fear & Greed Index of 38, and the inability of the 200-day moving average to hold as dynamic support.
Should you buy SOL now? Access strategy
Based on Solana’s current technical analysis, a disciplined entry strategy consists of waiting for confirmation signals rather than catching falling knives. The optimal buying zone for SOL is between $174-$179, which represents the confluence of 200-day moving average support and prior resistance turned support.
For aggressive traders, the current price of nearly $184 offers a reasonable risk-reward ratio with a stop-loss of $168.79 and an initial profit target of $204.14. This gives a reward-risk ratio of 2.4:1.
Conservative investors should wait for the SOL to recover and hold $197.42 (EMA 12) before taking positions. This approach provides some upside potential, but significantly reduces downside risk if support at $174 does not hold.
Position sizes should not exceed 3-5% of the portfolio allocation given the current mixed technical signals and increased volatility.
SOL Price Prediction Conclusion
The SOL price forecast for the next 30 days points to a recovery rally towards $204.14, which represents an increase of around 10.6% from current levels. This forecast has medium confidence, based on the technical confluence of analyst targets and key support positions.
The critical indicator to watch is SOL’s ability to hold support above the 200-day moving average at $174.23. A decisive break below this level would invalidate the bullish Solana forecast and introduce downside risks towards $168.79.
The timeline for this forecast focuses on the next 2-4 weeks, with initial confirmation expected if SOL can recover $197.42 within the next 7-10 trading days. The success of this SOL price target heavily depends on the broader improvement in market sentiment and Bitcoin’s ability to maintain stability above its own key support levels.
Traders should keep an eye on daily volume for confirmation, as any sustainable rally will require participation above the 20-day average volume of around 600 million to validate the bullish thesis.
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