Peter Zhang
October 17, 2025 6:04 am
The ATOM price forecast shows a potential recovery to $3.64 in the coming weeks as technical indicators point to an oversold bounce, while the Cosmos medium-term forecast targets a range of $12.78.
ATOM Price Forecast: Technical recovery setup points to a near-term price target of $3.64
Cosmos (ATOM) is down 3.31% over the past 24 hours to trade at $3.24, but technical indicators suggest the cryptocurrency may be gearing up for a potential recovery. Our comprehensive ATOM price forecast analysis reveals conflicting signals between short-term bearish momentum and medium-term bullish potential.
ATOM price forecast summary
• ATOM short-term objective (1 week): $3.64 (+12.3%) • Cosmos medium-term forecast (1 month): Range of $3.53 – $4.35
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $4.35 • Critical support if bearish: $2.94 (Lower Bollinger Band Support)
Recent Cosmos price predictions from analysts
The latest ATOM price forecast from leading analysts shows a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook. CoinCodex projects a short-term target of $3.64, which aligns with our technical analysis that suggests ATOM could bounce from current oversold levels. This represents the most conservative but achievable target based on current market conditions.
Changelly’s more bearish Cosmos forecast sets a price target of $3.53, reflecting concerns about the prevailing bearish momentum indicated by the negative MACD histogram of -0.0528. However, PricePredictions.com’s algorithmic analysis presents a dramatically different medium-term outlook, with a target of $12.78 by the end of 2025 – a forecast that would require a fundamental shift in market dynamics and broader cryptocurrency adoption.
The consensus among these predictions suggests that the immediate benefit is limited, but the longer-term potential remains substantial if Cosmos can effectively execute its roadmap.
ATOM Technical Analysis: Preparing for Oversold Bounce
Cosmos’ current technical analysis shows that ATOM is trading near critical support levels that have historically created bounce opportunities. With the RSI at 35.58, ATOM is in neutral territory but approaching oversold conditions, which often precede short-term reversals.
The MACD configuration shows bearish momentum with a histogram of -0.0528, but the relatively small negative divergence suggests that selling pressure may be easing. More importantly, ATOM’s position at 0.17 on the Bollinger Bands scale indicates that the token is trading much closer to the lower band ($2.94) than the upper band ($4.71), suggesting a possible average return to the middle band at $3.82.
Volume analysis from Binance shows $7.7 million in 24-hour trading, which while not exceptionally high, provides enough liquidity for institutional positioning. The 52-week trading range between $2.95 and $5.38 shows that ATOM is currently trading in the bottom third of its annual range, historically a zone where value buyers have emerged.
Cosmos Price Objectives: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish case for ATOM
The primary ATOM price target in a bullish scenario focuses on the $3.64 level identified by CoinCodex, which represents the immediate resistance zone. A successful break above this level would target the 20-period SMA at $3.82, followed by more significant resistance at $4.35.
For this bullish Cosmos prediction to materialize, ATOM needs to hold the current support level at $3.20 and generate buying volume on each bounce attempt. The stochastic indicators at 75.17 (%K) and 75.52 (%D) suggest that momentum could change quickly if buying interest arises, as these levels often precede directional moves.
A break above $4.35 would negate the current bearish structure and potentially target the strong resistance at $4.89, which represents a 51% upside from current levels.
Bearish risk for the cosmos
The bearish scenario for our ATOM price prediction hinges on a break below the critical support level at $2.94, which corresponds to the lower bound of the Bollinger Band. Such a move would likely initially target the 52-week low at $2.95, with further decline towards $2.50-$2.70 if broader market conditions deteriorate.
Key risk factors include Bitcoin’s correlation impact, as ATOM typically follows broader cryptocurrency market trends, and any delays in the development of the Cosmos ecosystem that could undermine its longer-term value propositions.
Should you buy ATOM now? Access strategy
Based on our technical analysis of Cosmos, whether to buy or sell ATOM depends heavily on risk tolerance and investment horizon. For short-term traders, the current level of $3.24 offers a reasonable risk-reward ratio, targeting $3.64, with a tight stop-loss below $2.94.
Conservative investors should expect an average dollar cost between $3.20 and $3.00 as this range represents strong historical support. More aggressive positioning could target the $2.94-$3.10 range for optimal entry, but requires patience as the market can test these levels.
Risk management is key: each position should include a stop-loss below $2.90 to limit downside exposure, while profit-taking around $3.64 and $3.82 would provide the most likely upside targets.
Conclusion ATOM price prediction
Our extended ATOM price forecast suggests a 65% probability of reaching the $3.64 target within 2-3 weeks, based on technical oversold conditions and historical support patterns. The Cosmos medium-term forecast remains cautiously optimistic, with potential for a range of $4.35-$4.89 if the broader cryptocurrency markets stabilize.
Key indicators to watch for confirmation include the RSI moving above 40, the MACD histogram turning positive, and volume growth on any price recovery. Void signals would include a decisive break below $2.94 or continued weakness in Bitcoin, putting pressure on all altcoins.
The timeline for this forecast focuses on the next 14-21 days for the initial $3.64 target, with the broader $4.35 level potentially achievable within 30-45 days if market conditions improve. Confidence level: Medium (65%).
Image source: Shutterstock
