The mining difficulty on the Bitcoin network is expected to drop by approximately 9.55 percent in about eight hours.
According to data reported by TheEnergyMag, this adjustment will be the second largest downward difficulty change seen in 2026.
The expected decline is attributed to the sharp drop in network hashrate seen following the weakness in Bitcoin price at the beginning of June. The fall in $BTC price to around $63,000 put pressure on miners’ incomes, leading some miners, particularly those operating with older devices, to cease operations.
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If the difficulty adjustment takes place, the amount of $BTC earned per active hashrate is expected to increase by over 9%. This is projected to ease block production for miners who continue their operations in the short term, providing relief in terms of income. Furthermore, it is stated that the hashprice, a mining revenue indicator, could rise back above $30 per PH/s.
According to a chart shared by Galaxy Research, the expected drop will rank among the largest downward difficulty adjustments in Bitcoin history. The chart shows that previous drops in 2026 were 11.16% on February 7th and 7.76% on March 20th. The largest historical drop was a 27.94% adjustment recorded in July 2021 following China’s mining ban.
It is stated that the decline in hashrate cannot be explained solely by price-related profitability pressures, but also by some mining companies redirecting their energy capacity to high-performance computing and AI data center operations.
*This is not investment advice.